What are microparasites?
Fungal, bacterial, viral, and protozoan parasites
Small, typically fast reproduction, often lead to lasting immunity
Fungal, bacterial, viral, and protozoan parasites
Small, typically fast reproduction, often lead to lasting immunity
Can be transmitted many ways (water, direct, vectors)
Direct
Indirect
Unicellular prokaryotes (no mitochondria, unbound genetic material)
Can be intracellular or extracellular
Asexual reproduction (potential for horizontal gene transfer through plasmid transfer between cells)
Many bacteria are good (e.g., your gut bacteria)
e.g., black death (bubonic and pneumonic plague; Yersinia pestis), Cholera, Tuberculosis
Cholera (Vibrio cholerae)
water-borne or contaminated food
acute diarrhoeal disease
severe symptoms can lead to death within hours
oral vaccine available, but still 1.3-4 million cases per year (21k - 143k deaths)
can be endemic or epidemic
Rigid cell wall made of chitin
Vegetative growth via mycellium or budding
Hyphae can growth through host cells
Produce sexual or asexual spores
e.g., last of us? Athlete’s foot, ringworm, etc. Many more crop fungal pathogens (ergot and the Salem witch trials)
White nose syndrome (Geomyces destructans)
external fungal pathogen
grows well in cooler temperatures
death caused by dehydration or starvation (bats wake up early from hiberation)
transmitted directly and through environment
White nose syndrome (Geomyces destructans)
Structurally simple = protein coat + genetic material (RNA or DNA)
RNA virsues has small genomes and high mutation rates, DNA viruses larger, more genes, and lower mutation rates.
Inert outside of hosts
Hijack host cell’s machinery to replicate (obligate intracellular parasite)
e.g., DNA: poxviridae (smallpox), herpesviridae (herpes, chicken pox)
e.g., RNA: flaviviridae (yellow fever, dengue), retroviridae (HIV)
Dengue (DENV)
mosquito-transmitted (100-400 million infections per year)
fever, headache, nausea, vomiting, rash
Dengvaxia vaccine, but only for previously infected people where risk of reinfection is high
4 types of dengue. No cross-type immunity, so reinfection happens and is bad
West Nile Virus (WNV)
Most common mosquito-borne disease in USA
Infects birds (no bird to human transmission known)
Asymptomatic cases common
high fever, stiff neck, headache, stupor, coma, tremors, muscle weakness, vision loss, numbness
lifelong immunity
No, just the coolest ones.
Influenza virus is directly transmitted and comes in a nice variety of flavors
Single-celled eukaryotes
Extremely diverse, loads of transmission modes and tissues infected
Can be intracellular or extracellular
Some host-specific, some incredibly broad host range
e.g., Plasmodium, Trypanosoma, Leishmania, etc.
Leishmaniasis
3 main forms (visceral, cutaneous, and mucocutaneous)
visceral is almost always fatal without treatment
transmitted by phlebotomine sandflies (90+ species can transmit)
associated with malnutrition, population displacement, poor housing, weakened immune function, etc.
700k-1 million cases
Interaction with HIV means coinfection tends to produce really negative outcomes
All of those protozoans listed are vector-borne and many or most of the other examples were vector-borne
Vectors are incredibly important!
We will spend an entire week on vector-borne disease.
Get excited, because vectors add a neat layer of complexity onto disease systems
Transmission depends on the density of susceptible and infected hosts (the well-mixed assumption of contact)
Transmission requires:
For one infected individual, the probability that they encounter a susceptible individual is \(\frac{S}{N}\)
For all infected individuals in the population, this scales to \(I\frac{S}{N}\)
Transmission requires:
Transmission = \(caN\frac{S}{N}I\) = \(\beta SI\)
Transmission depends on the number of contacts you have (e.g., sexually-transmitted infections)
Transmission requires:
Transmission = \(c\frac{S}{N}Ia\) = \(\beta\frac{SI}{N}\)
Force of infection : per capita rate at which susceptible individuals get infected
\[ DD: \dfrac{dI}{dt} = \beta S \] \[ FD: \dfrac{dI}{dt} = \beta' S \]
but \(\beta \neq \beta'\)
and this is because \(\beta\) is a combination of contact \(c\) and parasite establishment \(a\).
Density-dependent transmission = \(cN\frac{S}{N}Ia\)
…that \(cN\) is the contact of everyone with everyone.
Dallas et al. 2018 PRSB
Dallas et al. 2018 PRSB
5 minutes to discuss this in small groups.
Parasites with frequency-dependent transmission don’t really have a threshold host density in theory, but they often do in practice
This is a heady problem to think about, because we are acting like the same parasite can be transmitted as frequency or density dependent
And we aren’t even considering the pathogen challenge (are we just introducing 1 infected person into the population, or 10?)
Frequency-dependent transmission
\[ 0 < \beta \dfrac{SI}{N} - \gamma I \]
\[ \gamma < \beta \dfrac{S}{N} \]
\[ 0 < \beta SI - \gamma I \]
\[ \dfrac{\gamma}{\beta} < S \]
A bit about microparasites and their different forms
A primer on how pathogens are transmitted (density/frequency dependent transmission)
A little bit of the fun math that we’ll use throughout the semester
Population extinction
Invasive species (enemy release and biotic resistance)
Alter population dynamics
Weird knock-on effects (e.g., alter competitive landscape)
Do we expect parasites with density-dependent transmission to cause host extirpation?
Under what mechanisms could this happen?
de Castro and Bolker 2005 Ecology Letters
enemy release : invasive species are less impacted by enemies than native species (lose parasites in process of invasion or parasites in invaded range not a good fit)
biotic resistance : invasive species more impacted by enemies than native species (can happen in a bunch of ways)
Red grouse dynamics in Britain are famously cyclic
The cause of these fluctuations is a nematode parasite whose impact is directly related to host demographic parameters (\(r_t\) and breeding mortality)
Hubson et al. 1998 Science
Population dynamics (growth is determined by birth and death)
\(N = B - D\)
but parasites can result in additional mortality (\(N=B-D-\omega\))
this extra mortality can cause competition between species to change, or affect food web dynamics (e.g., deer infected by chronic wasting disease alter wolf population dynamics)
Parasite-mediated competition
Outbreaks: Sudden increase in disease in a population that forms epidemic curve
Sequential epidemics: Multiple waves or peaks of infection
Endemic parasites: Increase in prevalence that eventually settles to some equilibrial amount of infection
To understand, forecast, and mitigate infectious disease, we need to be able to model them (or at least fit a model to them).
statistical modeling : fitting a model to data to gain inference or prediction.
phenomenological modeling : building a model from first principles to describe a system’s behavior. Can then be fit to data.
O’Leary et al. 2009 Epidemiology and Infection
Fit a statistical model just based on case counts over time
https://epirhandbook.com/en/time-series-and-outbreak-detection.html
Built from knowledge about transmission, without looking at data first
can still be fit to data, so some of the resulting outputs may be similar between the two approaches
Next lecture we’ll be going over modeling infectious disease
Most of the models we will go over produce outbreak-like dynamics (epidemics)
Before next class, think about when you would expect to see sequential epidemics or endemic infections
S : susceptible individuals
I : infectious individuals
R : recovered (and immune) individuals
Costs of parasitism do not have to involve death
\[ \begin{aligned} \frac{dS}{dt} &= -\beta SI \\ \frac{dI}{dt} &= \beta SI - dI \\ \frac{dR}{dt} &= dI \end{aligned} \]
\[ \begin{aligned} \frac{dS}{dt} &= -\beta \dfrac{SI}{N} \\ \frac{dI}{dt} &= \beta \dfrac{SI}{N} - dI \\ \frac{dR}{dt} &= dI \end{aligned} \]
But in terms of infection prevalence, not in terms of pathogen invasion
This also makes the odd assumption that there is no recovery of infected hosts
In the next lecture, we’ll focus much more on density-dependent transmission and the underlying modeling framework.
We’ll also be incorporating further realism into the simple SIR model to think about epidemics and endemic disease